{"id":2543,"date":"2011-05-04T21:19:53","date_gmt":"2011-05-04T13:19:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/morrisjfwong.com\/blog\/?p=2543"},"modified":"2014-06-27T15:35:20","modified_gmt":"2014-06-27T07:35:20","slug":"%e4%b8%96%e7%95%8c%e4%ba%ba%e5%8f%a3100%e5%84%84-%e4%bd%a0%e4%bf%a1%e5%97%8e","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/morrisjfwong.com\/blog\/%e4%b8%96%e7%95%8c%e4%ba%ba%e5%8f%a3100%e5%84%84-%e4%bd%a0%e4%bf%a1%e5%97%8e\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3 100\u5104, \u4f60\u4fe1\u55ce?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u806f\u5408\u570b\u76842011\u5e74<strong>\u4eba\u53e3\u9810\u6e2c\u5831\u544a<\/strong>\u4e2d\u8aaa\u5230 : 2010\u5e74\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u5c07\u6703\u662f70\u5104, \u800c2100\u5e74, \u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3 \u66f4\u6703\u6709100\u5104!? \u4f60\u76f8\u4fe1\u55ce? \u6211\u662f\u4e0d\u592a\u4fe1. \u539f\u56e0\u5f88\u591a, \u4f46\u662f, \u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u662f: \u6211\u89ba\u5f97\u806f\u5408\u570b\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u8cc7\u6599\u602a\u602a\u7684&#8230;\u6211\u5011\u4f86\u770b\u770b.<br \/>\n<center><\/p>\n<div class=\"imgbox\" style=\"width: 640px\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/morrisjfwong.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/world-population-1950-2100-06a.png\" alt=\"world population trend\" title=\"world-population-1950-2100-06a\" width=\"640\" height=\"212\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2544\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"imginfo\">2011\u5e74\u7248, World Population Prospects, the 2010 Revision.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/center><\/p>\n<h6>\u9810\u6e2c, \u5e38\u5e38\u4e0d\u6e96, \u5c24\u5176\u662f\u9810\u6e2c\u767e\u5e74\u5f8c\u7684\u4e8b<\/h6>\n<p>\u9019\u500b\u806f\u5408\u570b\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u9810\u6e2c\u61c9\u8a72\u662f\u6709\u5927\u6279\u5c08\u5bb6\u5b8c\u6210\u7684\u5427! \u4e0d\u904e, \u6211\u9084\u662f\u8a8d\u70ba\u5831\u544a\u88e1\u7684<strong>\u9577\u671f\u9810\u6e2c\u5f88\u4e0d\u6e96<\/strong>, \u56e0\u70ba: \u9810\u6e2c\u6839\u672c\u5c31\u5e38\u5e38\u4e0d\u6e96, \u5c24\u5176\u662f\u9810\u6e2c\u767e\u5e74\u4ee5\u5f8c\u7684\u4e8b.<\/p>\n<p>\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762, \u6211\u537b\u662f\u5f88\u76f8\u4fe1<strong>\u77ed\u671f(\u7d0420-30)\u5e74\u7684\u820a\u8cc7\u6599\u5f88\u6709\u53c3\u8003\u50f9\u503c<\/strong>. \u4ee5\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u8da8\u52e2\u4f86\u770b, \u5c31\u5341\u5206\u7b26\u5408\u73fe\u6cc1. \u7531\u8da8\u52e2\u5716\u4e0a\u6211\u5011\u770b\u5230, \u53f0\u7063\u4eba\u53e3\u5c07\u505c\u7559\u5728\u7d042300\u842c\u4eba\u5de6\u53f3, \u63a5\u8457\u57282020\u5e74\u4e4b\u5f8c\u5feb\u901f\u4e0b\u964d. (\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u63a8\u4f30: \u5230\u4e862100\u5e74\u53ea\u5269\u4e0b1250\u842c\u4eba) \u9019\u500b\u4eba\u53e3\u8b8a\u5316\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u5341\u5206\u5de8\u5927, \u5927\u5230\u5f71\u97ff\u793e\u6703\u6240\u6709\u5c64\u9762.<br \/>\n<center><\/p>\n<div class=\"imgbox\" style=\"width: 640px\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/morrisjfwong.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/taiwan-population-1950-2100-06a.png\" alt=\"taiwan population trend\" title=\"taiwan-population-1950-2100-06a\" width=\"640\" height=\"212\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2545\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"imginfo\">2011\u5e74\u7248, World Population Prospects, 2010 Revision : Taiwan \u53f0\u7063\u4eba\u53e3.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/center><\/p>\n<h6>\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3 \u7834\u5104\u7684 23 \u5927\u570b (Large-23)<\/h6>\n<p>\u8b93\u6211\u5011\u4f5c\u4e00\u500b\u5047\u8a2d: \u5982\u679c, \u9019\u8cc7\u6599\u76842100\u5e74\u63a8\u4f30\u53ef\u4fe1, \u90a3\u5c07\u670923\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u4eba\u53e3\u8d85\u904e\u4e00\u5104\u4eba. (\u53c3\u8003\u4e0b\u8868). \u6211\u5011\u59d1\u4e14\u7a31\u9019\u4e9b\u570b\u5bb6\u70ba: \u4eba\u53e3\u7834\u5104\u7684\u4e8c\u5341\u4e09\u7684\u570b\u5bb6( Large-23 ).<br \/>\n<center><\/p>\n<div class=\"imgbox\" style=\"width: 525px\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/morrisjfwong.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/world-population-trend-1950-2100-03a.png\" alt=\"\" title=\"world-population-trend-1950-2100-03a\" width=\"525\" height=\"487\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2547\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"imginfo\">Large 23 Nations in 2100, World Population Prospects, 2010.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/center><\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u8868\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u662f\u9b54\u65c5\u58eb\u6574\u7406\u7e6a\u88fd, \u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u8981\u5206\u6790 &#8220;\u4eba\u53e3\u7834\u5104\u7684\u4e8c\u5341\u4e09\u7684\u570b\u5bb6( Large-23 )&#8221; \u7684\u767e\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u8da8\u52e2. \u5176\u5be6, \u5f9e\u9019\u500b\u6574\u7406\u8868\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u8aaa\u660e\u70ba\u4f55\u6211\u4e0d\u76f8\u4fe1\u806f\u5408\u570b\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u8cc7\u6599.<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u7684\u5e7e\u9805\u89c0\u5bdf\u8207\u60f3\u6cd5 :<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\n(1) 2010-2100\u5e74: Brazil\/China\/Russian \u4e09\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u4eba\u53e3<strong>\u6e1b\u5c11<\/strong>\u4e864.5\u5104.<br \/>\n(2) 2010-2100\u5e74: \u5269\u4e0b\u768420\u500b Large-23 \u570b\u5bb6\u4eba\u53e3\u537b<strong>\u589e\u52a0<\/strong>\u4e8627\u5104.<br \/>\n(3) 2010-2100\u5e74: \u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u5176\u4ed6\u5c0f\u570b, \u7e3d\u5171\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7d0410\u5104.\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u77e5\u9053, Large-23 \u570b\u5bb6, \u6709\u4e00\u5927\u534a\u662f<strong>\u975e\u6d32\u8207\u4e2d\u6771<\/strong>\u570b\u5bb6, \u5982\u679c\u9019\u7a2e\u4eba\u53e3\u5206\u5e03\u8981\u767c\u751f, \u80af\u5b9a\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u8cc7\u6e90(<strong>\u98df\u7269\/\u6c34\/\u80fd\u6e90\/\u6b66\u5668\/\u8cc7\u7522\/\u6559\u80b2&#8230;<\/strong>)\u4e0a\u6709\u91cd\u5927\u7684\u91cd\u5206\u914d. \u4e0d\u7136, <strong>\u5982\u4f55\u4f9b\u990a\u5f97\u8d77\u9019\u591a\u51fa\u4f86\u768430\u5104\u4eba\u53e3\u54e9?<\/strong> \u9019\u53ef\u662f\u6703\u6d88\u8017\u73fe\u6709\u81ea\u7136\u8cc7\u6e90\u8ca0\u64d4\u7684\u767e\u5206\u4e4b\u56db\u5341\u8036! \u771f\u662f\u8a6d\u7570?! \u8a71\u8aaa\u56de\u4f86, 2100\u5e74\u6642, \u9b54\u65c5\u58eb\u5df2\u7d93\u639b\u4e86, \u9019\u91cd\u8981\u55ce? \u54c8\u54c8.<\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u5f8c, \u9b54\u65c5\u58eb\u63a8\u85a6\u5927\u5bb6\u770b\u4e00\u5834\u7cbe\u91c7\u7684\u6f14\u8b1b, \u8aaa\u7684\u5c31\u662f100\u5104\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u6545\u4e8b. \u9019\u5834\u6f14\u8aaa\u662f\u7531 Dr. Hans Rosling \u5728TED 2012\/Aprl \u7684\u805a\u6703\u4e2d\u767c\u8868\u7684. Dr. Hans Rosling \u6f14\u8aaa\u4e2d\u8a8d\u70ba100\u5104\u4eba\u53e3\u662f\u5f88\u6709\u9053\u88e1\u7684, \u4ed6\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u7c21\u55ae\u800c\u4e14\u5341\u5206\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u63a8\u8ad6, \u5f88\u7cbe\u91c7! \u5982\u679c\u4f60\u6709\u8208\u8da3\u4e86\u89e3\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u4e0b\u9762\u7684\u9023\u7d50\u770b\u9019\u4e00\u500b\u6f14\u8b1b. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ted.com\/talks\/hans_rosling_religions_and_babies.html\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Hans Rosling \u6f14\u8aaa: Religions and babies \/ TED2012<\/a>. \u55ef! \u6211\u5011\u61c9\u8a72\u597d\u597d\u4eab\u53d7\u9019\u500b100\u5104\u7684\u5927\u79ae\u7269!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u806f [&#038;hellip<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2544,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[83],"tags":[143,149,217],"class_list":["post-2543","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-population","tag-143","tag-149","tag-217"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3 100\u5104, \u4f60\u4fe1\u55ce?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u806f\u5408\u570b\u76842011\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u9810\u6e2c\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u8aaa\u5230 : 2010\u5e74 \u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3 \u5c07\u6703\u662f70\u5104, \u800c2100\u5e74\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u66f4\u6703\u6709100\u5104!? 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